A model of secular stagnation: Theory and quantitative evaluation / Learning, career paths, and the distribution of wages / Fiscal austerity in ambiguous times / When is foreign exchange intervention effective? Evidence from 33 countries / Monetary policy, real activity, and credit spreads: Evidence from Bayesian proxy SVARs / Demographic structure and macroeconomic trends / The urban mortality transition and poor-country urbanization / Firm uncertainty cycles and the propagation of nominal shocks / Inventory management, product quality, and cross-country income differences / Employment adjustment and part-time work: lessons from the United States and United Kingdom.